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Definitive Analysis

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SK Securities Co., Ltd. (001515.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.05 - $78.88$67.38
Multi-Stage$80.37 - $88.28$84.25
Blended Fair Value$75.81
Current Price$2,710.00
Upside-97.20%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-28.79%0.00%2.075.0915.2710.5911.2811.280.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---59.44%-66.67%44.17%-6.08%-0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.13%0.23%0.56%0.28%0.23%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,663.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)437.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,226.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)732.77457.98274.79
Cash Retained (M)3,226.473,226.473,226.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-732.77-457.98-274.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,493.702,768.492,951.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)414.15414.15414.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.026.687.13
LTM Dividend per Share1.061.061.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.026.687.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.087.748.18
WACC / Discount Rate10.37%10.37%10.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$56.05$67.38$78.88
Upside / Downside-97.93%-97.51%-97.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,663.843,627.203,590.933,555.023,519.473,484.283,588.81
Payout Ratio11.94%27.55%43.16%58.78%74.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)437.37999.301,549.942,089.472,618.053,135.853,319.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.37%10.37%10.37%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)896.23905.37914.52
Year 2 PV (M)1,246.701,272.271,298.10
Year 3 PV (M)1,507.321,553.931,601.50
Year 4 PV (M)1,693.831,764.031,836.40
Year 5 PV (M)1,819.581,914.332,012.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,121.1027,481.2928,897.56
Equity Value (M)33,284.7634,891.2336,561.05
Shares Outstanding (M)414.15414.15414.15
Fair Value$80.37$84.25$88.28
Upside / Downside-97.03%-96.89%-96.74%

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