Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangxi Bestoo Ene (001376.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.95 - $75.38$70.64
Multi-Stage$11.96 - $13.10$12.52
Blended Fair Value$41.58
Current Price$12.50
Upside232.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820142013
DPS41.91%0.00%0.160.100.030.030.030.030.010.010.010.00
YoY Growth--63.09%294.43%-27.33%1.69%21.06%402.53%-36.53%31.94%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.59%0.07%0.09%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)174.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)123.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.9021.8113.09
Cash Retained (M)123.80123.80123.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.90-21.81-13.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.91101.99110.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)460.35460.35460.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42.95$70.64$75.38
Upside / Downside243.63%465.12%503.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)174.48185.82197.90210.76224.46239.05246.22
Payout Ratio29.04%41.24%53.43%65.62%77.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.6876.62105.73138.30174.65215.15227.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.24%6.24%6.24%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)71.4472.1272.80
Year 2 PV (M)91.9293.6795.43
Year 3 PV (M)112.10115.32118.60
Year 4 PV (M)131.99137.07142.29
Year 5 PV (M)151.60158.93166.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,946.195,185.095,433.14
Equity Value (M)5,505.255,762.196,028.79
Shares Outstanding (M)460.35460.35460.35
Fair Value$11.96$12.52$13.10
Upside / Downside-4.33%0.14%4.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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