Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Advanced Technology & Materials Co., Ltd. (000969.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.19 - $10.41$7.22
Multi-Stage$4.89 - $5.33$5.10
Blended Fair Value$6.16
Current Price$13.56
Upside-54.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.14%19.64%0.100.120.000.020.020.100.030.100.100.10
YoY Growth---17.60%12,397.80%-95.10%0.00%-80.06%234.38%-71.31%2.87%-1.85%515.85%
Dividend Yield--0.78%1.36%0.01%0.25%0.29%1.63%0.42%1.28%1.01%0.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)313.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223.72
(=) Cash Retained (M)90.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.7939.2423.55
Cash Retained (M)90.2390.2390.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.79-39.24-23.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.4450.9966.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,038.641,038.641,038.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.050.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate4.19%5.19%6.19%
Fair Value$5.19$7.22$10.41
Upside / Downside-61.70%-46.73%-23.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)313.95330.23347.36365.37384.31404.24416.37
Payout Ratio71.26%75.01%78.76%82.50%86.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223.72247.70273.56301.44331.48363.82385.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.04%9.04%9.04%
Growth Rate4.19%5.19%6.19%
Year 1 PV (M)225.01227.17229.33
Year 2 PV (M)225.74230.10234.49
Year 3 PV (M)225.96232.53239.23
Year 4 PV (M)225.72234.51243.55
Year 5 PV (M)225.05236.05247.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,946.294,139.354,339.90
Equity Value (M)5,073.785,299.725,534.00
Shares Outstanding (M)1,038.641,038.641,038.64
Fair Value$4.89$5.10$5.33
Upside / Downside-63.97%-62.37%-60.71%

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