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Wawel S.A. (WWL.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food ConfectionersSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,096.60 - $2,466.82$1,589.38
Multi-Stage$1,655.35 - $1,816.51$1,734.40
Blended Fair Value$1,661.89
Current Price$666.00
Upside149.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.82%4.19%35.0010.000.0029.0234.8329.0229.0223.2223.2223.22
YoY Growth--250.02%0.00%-100.00%-16.67%20.00%0.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.52%1.50%0.00%5.96%5.41%4.68%3.30%2.08%2.25%2.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.629.145.48
Cash Retained (M)27.8827.8827.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.62-9.14-5.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.2618.7422.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.291.291.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.2614.5117.34
LTM Dividend per Share35.0035.0035.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.2614.5117.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend45.2649.5152.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate1.82%2.82%3.82%
Fair Value$1,096.60$1,589.38$2,466.82
Upside / Downside64.65%138.65%270.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.0975.1577.2779.4481.6883.9886.50
Payout Ratio61.86%67.49%73.12%78.74%84.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.2250.7256.4962.5668.9175.5880.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.02%6.02%6.02%
Growth Rate1.82%2.82%3.82%
Year 1 PV (M)47.3747.8448.30
Year 2 PV (M)49.2950.2651.24
Year 3 PV (M)50.9852.5054.04
Year 4 PV (M)52.4654.5556.70
Year 5 PV (M)53.7456.4359.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,884.621,979.002,077.13
Equity Value (M)2,138.452,240.582,346.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1.291.291.29
Fair Value$1,655.35$1,734.40$1,816.51
Upside / Downside148.55%160.42%172.75%

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