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Taurus Armas S.A. (TASA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.63 - $186.74$112.83
Multi-Stage$22.01 - $24.09$23.03
Blended Fair Value$67.93
Current Price$4.81
Upside1,312.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.291.341.470.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---78.31%-9.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.93%11.27%10.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)123.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)98.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.7515.479.28
Cash Retained (M)98.1398.1398.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.75-15.47-9.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.3782.6688.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)131.81131.81131.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.630.67
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.630.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.750.820.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$44.63$112.83$186.74
Upside / Downside827.95%2,245.67%3,782.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)123.77131.81140.38149.50159.22169.57174.66
Payout Ratio20.71%34.57%48.43%62.29%76.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.6445.5767.9893.12121.24152.61161.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.28%7.28%7.28%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)42.0842.4842.88
Year 2 PV (M)57.9759.0860.19
Year 3 PV (M)73.3275.4377.57
Year 4 PV (M)88.1591.5495.03
Year 5 PV (M)102.47107.42112.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,537.162,659.712,786.94
Equity Value (M)2,901.163,035.653,175.17
Shares Outstanding (M)131.81131.81131.81
Fair Value$22.01$23.03$24.09
Upside / Downside357.60%378.81%400.82%

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