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Golden Lime Public Company Limited (SUTHA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.96 - $3.47$2.60
Multi-Stage$3.62 - $3.97$3.79
Blended Fair Value$3.20
Current Price$2.30
Upside38.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.70%-1.51%0.160.000.000.110.230.300.210.200.310.25
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-99.98%-53.93%-21.81%44.02%4.14%-36.84%26.67%33.33%
Dividend Yield--6.25%0.00%0.00%2.86%5.77%25.47%5.29%4.09%5.62%4.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)52.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.556.603.96
Cash Retained (M)10.6210.6210.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.55-6.60-3.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.064.026.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)362.39362.39362.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate0.38%1.38%2.38%
Fair Value$1.96$2.60$3.47
Upside / Downside-14.93%12.86%50.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)52.7753.5054.2454.9955.7556.5258.21
Payout Ratio79.88%81.90%83.93%85.95%87.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.1643.8245.5247.2649.0550.8753.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate0.38%1.38%2.38%
Year 1 PV (M)40.7941.2041.61
Year 2 PV (M)39.4540.2441.04
Year 3 PV (M)38.1339.2940.46
Year 4 PV (M)36.8438.3339.86
Year 5 PV (M)35.5737.3839.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,121.711,178.711,238.00
Equity Value (M)1,312.501,375.141,440.23
Shares Outstanding (M)362.39362.39362.39
Fair Value$3.62$3.79$3.97
Upside / Downside57.47%64.98%72.79%

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