Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Investment AB Spiltan (SPLTN.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$253.46 - $381.65$314.04
Multi-Stage$489.70 - $539.64$514.18
Blended Fair Value$414.11
Current Price$207.50
Upside99.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.75%0.00%1.021.021.021.020.001.061.160.580.550.10
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-8.90%98.56%6.59%426.52%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.49%0.50%0.42%0.38%0.00%0.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)912.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)846.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)182.45114.0368.42
Cash Retained (M)846.60846.60846.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-182.45-114.03-68.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)664.15732.57778.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.5430.5430.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.7523.9925.48
LTM Dividend per Share2.152.152.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.7523.9925.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend23.9026.1427.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.24%7.24%7.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$253.46$314.04$381.65
Upside / Downside22.15%51.34%83.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)912.27903.14894.11885.17876.32867.56893.58
Payout Ratio7.20%23.76%40.32%56.88%73.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.67214.57360.50503.48643.57780.80826.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.24%7.24%7.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)198.06200.09202.11
Year 2 PV (M)307.16313.46319.83
Year 3 PV (M)395.99408.23420.73
Year 4 PV (M)467.22486.59506.55
Year 5 PV (M)523.24550.49578.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,062.9413,743.1614,451.43
Equity Value (M)14,954.6215,702.0216,479.49
Shares Outstanding (M)30.5430.5430.54
Fair Value$489.70$514.18$539.64
Upside / Downside136.00%147.80%160.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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