Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PT Kedoya Adyaraya Tbk (RSGK.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$236.28 - $334.52$284.80
Multi-Stage$358.46 - $393.24$375.52
Blended Fair Value$330.16
Current Price$980.00
Upside-66.31%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%11.0096.0086.000.000.000.005.380.000.000.00
YoY Growth---88.54%11.63%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.12%8.35%7.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33,621.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,226.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,394.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,724.264,202.662,521.60
Cash Retained (M)23,394.8923,394.8923,394.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,724.26-4,202.66-2,521.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)16,670.6319,192.2320,873.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)929.68929.68929.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share17.9320.6422.45
LTM Dividend per Share11.0011.0011.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share17.9320.6422.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend28.9331.6433.45
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$236.28$284.80$334.52
Upside / Downside-75.89%-70.94%-65.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33,621.3233,285.1032,952.2532,622.7332,296.5031,973.5432,932.74
Payout Ratio30.42%42.33%54.25%66.17%78.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,226.4314,090.6517,876.5621,585.3525,218.1728,776.1830,462.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12,680.2912,809.6812,939.07
Year 2 PV (M)14,477.0614,774.0215,073.99
Year 3 PV (M)15,730.9016,217.3916,713.81
Year 4 PV (M)16,538.8917,224.3517,930.90
Year 5 PV (M)16,983.3817,867.7518,788.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)256,839.96270,214.21284,139.89
Equity Value (M)333,250.49349,107.40365,586.24
Shares Outstanding (M)929.68929.68929.68
Fair Value$358.46$375.52$393.24
Upside / Downside-63.42%-61.68%-59.87%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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