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PSC Insurance Group Limited (PSI.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.43 - $62.61$25.79
Multi-Stage$7.14 - $7.79$7.46
Blended Fair Value$16.63
Current Price$6.04
Upside175.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.42%0.00%0.140.120.100.080.060.050.040.030.020.00
YoY Growth--15.54%21.55%29.75%22.50%18.20%19.76%57.08%32.90%392.65%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.33%2.21%2.42%2.18%2.48%2.12%1.55%1.25%1.24%0.30%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)112.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.5814.118.47
Cash Retained (M)18.9518.9518.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.58-14.11-8.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.634.8310.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)358.69358.69358.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.260.260.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.280.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.43$25.79$62.61
Upside / Downside105.79%326.96%936.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)112.92120.26128.07136.40145.27154.71159.35
Payout Ratio83.22%84.58%85.93%87.29%88.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.97101.71110.06119.06128.77139.24147.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.6094.4995.38
Year 2 PV (M)93.2294.9996.78
Year 3 PV (M)92.8195.4798.19
Year 4 PV (M)92.3895.9399.58
Year 5 PV (M)91.9396.37100.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,098.432,199.782,305.02
Equity Value (M)2,562.362,677.032,795.93
Shares Outstanding (M)358.69358.69358.69
Fair Value$7.14$7.46$7.79
Upside / Downside18.27%23.57%29.05%

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