Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pandox AB (publ) (PNDX-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$142.95 - $261.55$192.06
Multi-Stage$778.20 - $860.90$818.71
Blended Fair Value$505.38
Current Price$180.20
Upside180.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.36%-3.98%3.782.360.000.000.004.043.793.322.930.77
YoY Growth--59.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%6.78%14.09%13.33%280.00%-86.40%
Dividend Yield--2.18%1.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.93%2.28%2.22%2.14%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,028.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)827.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,201.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)405.60253.50152.10
Cash Retained (M)1,201.001,201.001,201.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-405.60-253.50-152.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)795.40947.501,048.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)194.66194.66194.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.094.875.39
LTM Dividend per Share4.254.254.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.094.875.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.339.129.64
WACC / Discount Rate2.28%2.28%2.28%
Growth Rate-3.36%-2.36%-1.36%
Fair Value$142.95$192.06$261.55
Upside / Downside-20.67%6.58%45.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,028.001,980.181,933.491,887.901,843.391,799.931,853.92
Payout Ratio40.78%50.62%60.47%70.31%80.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)827.001,002.431,169.131,327.421,477.581,619.931,714.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.28%2.28%2.28%
Growth Rate-3.36%-2.36%-1.36%
Year 1 PV (M)970.08980.12990.16
Year 2 PV (M)1,094.891,117.661,140.67
Year 3 PV (M)1,203.001,240.731,279.24
Year 4 PV (M)1,295.871,350.351,406.52
Year 5 PV (M)1,374.871,447.491,523.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)145,544.83153,232.38161,241.39
Equity Value (M)151,483.54159,368.73167,581.12
Shares Outstanding (M)194.66194.66194.66
Fair Value$778.20$818.71$860.90
Upside / Downside331.85%354.33%377.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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