Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PDS Limited (PDSL.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$173.60 - $446.17$262.85
Multi-Stage$121.91 - $133.07$127.39
Blended Fair Value$195.12
Current Price$318.15
Upside-38.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS29.48%0.00%4.543.796.662.883.301.250.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--19.70%-43.08%131.24%-12.61%164.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.11%0.68%1.97%0.86%1.65%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,081.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)413.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)668.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)216.34135.2181.13
Cash Retained (M)668.28668.28668.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-216.34-135.21-81.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)451.95533.07587.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)142.41142.41142.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.173.744.12
LTM Dividend per Share2.902.902.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.173.744.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.086.657.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$173.60$262.85$446.17
Upside / Downside-45.43%-17.38%40.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,081.681,151.991,226.871,306.611,391.541,482.001,526.46
Payout Ratio38.22%48.57%58.93%69.29%79.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)413.40559.57723.00905.321,108.281,333.801,411.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.19%9.19%9.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)507.65512.46517.28
Year 2 PV (M)595.06606.39617.83
Year 3 PV (M)675.97695.37715.15
Year 4 PV (M)750.73779.60809.30
Year 5 PV (M)819.66859.25900.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,011.3314,688.0815,390.73
Equity Value (M)17,360.3918,141.1618,950.64
Shares Outstanding (M)142.41142.41142.41
Fair Value$121.91$127.39$133.07
Upside / Downside-61.68%-59.96%-58.17%

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