Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Malacca Trust Wuwungan Insurance Tbk (MTWI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$573.50 - $1,217.46$814.43
Multi-Stage$422.97 - $461.74$442.01
Blended Fair Value$628.22
Current Price$352.00
Upside78.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)89,311.33
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)22,933.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,378.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,862.2711,163.926,698.35
Cash Retained (M)66,378.0666,378.0666,378.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,862.27-11,163.92-6,698.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)48,515.8055,214.1559,679.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.492,924.492,924.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.5918.8820.41
LTM Dividend per Share7.847.847.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.5918.8820.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.4326.7228.25
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$573.50$814.43$1,217.46
Upside / Downside62.93%131.37%245.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)89,311.3395,116.56101,299.14107,883.58114,896.01122,364.26126,035.18
Payout Ratio25.68%38.54%51.41%64.27%77.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)22,933.2636,660.1252,074.5869,338.0288,625.70110,127.83116,582.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)33,016.1633,329.1133,642.06
Year 2 PV (M)42,236.8043,041.2943,853.37
Year 3 PV (M)50,648.8252,102.7753,584.27
Year 4 PV (M)58,302.9160,545.0762,851.29
Year 5 PV (M)65,246.9568,398.4071,670.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)987,533.151,035,231.371,084,755.11
Equity Value (M)1,236,984.781,292,648.011,350,356.58
Shares Outstanding (M)2,924.492,924.492,924.49
Fair Value$422.97$442.01$461.74
Upside / Downside20.16%25.57%31.18%

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