Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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PT Ace Oldfields Tbk (KUAS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.72 - $123.50$100.71
Multi-Stage$172.54 - $189.97$181.08
Blended Fair Value$140.90
Current Price$50.00
Upside181.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%2.501.601.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--56.25%60.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.00%3.14%1.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,630.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,878.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,752.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,326.121,453.82872.29
Cash Retained (M)7,752.177,752.177,752.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,326.12-1,453.82-872.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,426.056,298.346,879.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,292.811,292.811,292.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.204.875.32
LTM Dividend per Share3.003.003.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.204.875.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.207.878.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$80.72$100.71$123.50
Upside / Downside61.44%101.42%147.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,630.5911,514.2811,399.1411,285.1511,172.3011,060.5711,392.39
Payout Ratio33.35%44.68%56.01%67.34%78.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,878.425,144.286,384.447,599.278,789.179,954.5210,537.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)4,770.864,819.544,868.22
Year 2 PV (M)5,491.185,603.825,717.60
Year 3 PV (M)6,061.606,249.056,440.34
Year 4 PV (M)6,501.826,771.297,049.05
Year 5 PV (M)6,829.337,184.957,555.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)193,406.25203,477.36213,963.71
Equity Value (M)223,061.03234,106.01245,594.15
Shares Outstanding (M)1,292.811,292.811,292.81
Fair Value$172.54$181.08$189.97
Upside / Downside245.08%262.17%279.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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