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INDUS Holding AG (INH.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.82 - $33.42$26.52
Multi-Stage$45.32 - $49.84$47.54
Blended Fair Value$37.03
Current Price$22.80
Upside62.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.33%1.42%1.230.851.120.850.771.451.451.311.161.16
YoY Growth--43.87%-23.81%31.25%10.01%-46.67%0.00%11.11%12.50%0.00%9.09%
Dividend Yield--5.03%3.20%4.47%3.16%2.19%6.14%3.27%2.30%1.92%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.036.273.76
Cash Retained (M)20.2920.2920.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.03-6.27-3.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.2514.0216.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.2625.2625.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.550.65
LTM Dividend per Share1.181.181.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.550.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.591.741.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Fair Value$20.82$26.52$33.42
Upside / Downside-8.70%16.29%46.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.1650.0649.9749.8749.7749.6751.16
Payout Ratio59.56%65.65%71.73%77.82%83.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.8832.8635.8438.8141.7644.7047.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-1.20%-0.20%0.80%
Year 1 PV (M)30.5930.9031.21
Year 2 PV (M)31.0631.6932.33
Year 3 PV (M)31.3132.2733.25
Year 4 PV (M)31.3632.6533.98
Year 5 PV (M)31.2532.8734.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)989.211,040.291,093.47
Equity Value (M)1,144.791,200.681,258.79
Shares Outstanding (M)25.2625.2625.26
Fair Value$45.32$47.54$49.84
Upside / Downside98.79%108.50%118.59%

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