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Infrea AB (INFREA.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.36 - $9.61$7.89
Multi-Stage$13.24 - $14.55$13.88
Blended Fair Value$10.89
Current Price$12.85
Upside-15.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.060.330.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-83.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.18%1.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)15.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.442.781.67
Cash Retained (M)7.207.207.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.44-2.78-1.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.764.435.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.9829.9829.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.650.68
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.36$7.89$9.61
Upside / Downside-50.51%-38.59%-25.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.2021.9821.7621.5421.3321.1121.75
Payout Ratio67.57%72.05%76.54%81.03%85.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)15.0015.8416.6517.4518.2419.0020.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14.6314.7814.93
Year 2 PV (M)14.2214.5114.81
Year 3 PV (M)13.7714.2014.63
Year 4 PV (M)13.3013.8514.41
Year 5 PV (M)12.8013.4714.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)328.32345.41363.21
Equity Value (M)397.04416.22436.16
Shares Outstanding (M)29.9829.9829.98
Fair Value$13.24$13.88$14.55
Upside / Downside3.05%8.03%13.20%

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