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Definitive Analysis

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iA Financial Corporation Inc. (IAF-PI.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.25 - $44.86$36.54
Multi-Stage$62.76 - $69.13$65.88
Blended Fair Value$51.21
Current Price$24.99
Upside104.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS12.59%9.83%1.070.870.810.740.690.590.520.320.330.36
YoY Growth--23.58%6.96%9.52%8.25%15.48%15.07%62.22%-4.26%-8.74%-13.45%
Dividend Yield--4.30%3.46%3.28%5.54%3.12%2.35%2.07%1.27%1.33%1.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)916.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)231.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)685.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.20114.5068.70
Cash Retained (M)685.00685.00685.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.20-114.50-68.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)501.80570.50616.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)283.04283.04283.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.772.022.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.772.022.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.592.832.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$29.25$36.54$44.86
Upside / Downside17.07%46.21%79.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)916.00906.84897.77888.79879.91871.11897.24
Payout Ratio25.22%38.17%51.13%64.09%77.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)231.00346.18459.04569.60677.91784.00829.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)321.25324.53327.81
Year 2 PV (M)395.30403.41411.60
Year 3 PV (M)455.18469.26483.62
Year 4 PV (M)502.71523.55545.02
Year 5 PV (M)539.51567.60596.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,549.4716,359.1717,202.25
Equity Value (M)17,763.4218,647.5119,567.15
Shares Outstanding (M)283.04283.04283.04
Fair Value$62.76$65.88$69.13
Upside / Downside151.14%163.64%176.64%

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