Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Gentian Diagnostics ASA (GENT.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.81 - $25.32$21.50
Multi-Stage$26.80 - $29.44$28.09
Blended Fair Value$24.80
Current Price$64.00
Upside-61.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.445.273.16
Cash Retained (M)36.0236.0236.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.44-5.27-3.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.5930.7532.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.7915.7915.79
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.751.952.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.751.952.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.142.342.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.81$21.50$25.32
Upside / Downside-72.18%-66.40%-60.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.1941.7741.3540.9440.5340.1341.33
Payout Ratio14.62%29.70%44.77%59.85%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.1712.4018.5124.5030.3736.1138.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.1911.3011.42
Year 2 PV (M)15.0615.3715.68
Year 3 PV (M)17.9718.5319.10
Year 4 PV (M)20.0920.9221.78
Year 5 PV (M)21.5522.6723.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)337.38354.95373.24
Equity Value (M)423.24443.74465.06
Shares Outstanding (M)15.7915.7915.79
Fair Value$26.80$28.09$29.44
Upside / Downside-58.13%-56.10%-53.99%

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