Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Exsitec Holding AB (publ) (EXS.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$38.90 - $56.06$47.27
Multi-Stage$61.69 - $67.86$64.72
Blended Fair Value$55.99
Current Price$139.50
Upside-59.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%1.751.681.431.220.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3.98%17.87%16.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.55%0.93%1.04%0.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.709.195.51
Cash Retained (M)66.1866.1866.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.70-9.19-5.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.4756.9960.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.4313.4313.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.834.244.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.550.550.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.834.244.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.384.795.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$38.90$47.27$56.06
Upside / Downside-72.11%-66.12%-59.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.5172.7772.0471.3270.6169.9072.00
Payout Ratio9.97%25.98%41.98%57.99%73.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.3318.9130.2541.3652.2562.9166.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)17.1617.3417.51
Year 2 PV (M)24.9325.4425.96
Year 3 PV (M)30.9531.9132.89
Year 4 PV (M)35.5036.9738.49
Year 5 PV (M)38.8140.8342.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)680.99716.45753.37
Equity Value (M)828.34868.94911.15
Shares Outstanding (M)13.4313.4313.43
Fair Value$61.69$64.72$67.86
Upside / Downside-55.78%-53.61%-51.36%

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