Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

EUWAX Gold II (EWG2.SG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.06 - $10.00$8.51
Multi-Stage$11.51 - $12.58$12.04
Blended Fair Value$10.27
Current Price$57.80
Upside-82.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-5.32%-9.94%1.142.710.810.770.891.501.951.441.622.34
YoY Growth---57.96%232.51%6.49%-14.35%-40.33%-23.08%35.45%-11.05%-30.94%-27.87%
Dividend Yield--1.93%4.72%1.70%1.59%2.01%3.36%4.37%3.23%3.63%5.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.120.700.42
Cash Retained (M)1.301.301.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.12-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.180.600.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5.175.175.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.120.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.830.830.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.120.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.860.941.00
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.06$8.51$10.00
Upside / Downside-87.79%-85.28%-82.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.585.535.475.425.365.315.47
Payout Ratio76.69%79.35%82.01%84.68%87.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.284.394.494.594.684.785.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.953.994.03
Year 2 PV (M)3.643.713.79
Year 3 PV (M)3.343.453.55
Year 4 PV (M)3.073.203.33
Year 5 PV (M)2.822.973.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)42.7144.9347.25
Equity Value (M)59.5362.2565.07
Shares Outstanding (M)5.175.175.17
Fair Value$11.51$12.04$12.58
Upside / Downside-80.08%-79.17%-78.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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