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Definitive Analysis

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First Resources Limited (EB5.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.60 - $37.37$35.02
Multi-Stage$5.85 - $6.40$6.12
Blended Fair Value$20.57
Current Price$1.16
Upside1,673.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.34%3.85%0.050.110.060.030.020.020.050.030.010.03
YoY Growth---50.82%97.47%108.72%32.74%-6.20%-58.83%88.48%89.21%-46.64%-26.21%
Dividend Yield--4.31%10.93%4.74%2.39%2.08%1.53%4.28%2.16%1.05%1.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)291.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)117.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)173.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.2236.3921.83
Cash Retained (M)173.92173.92173.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.22-36.39-21.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)115.70137.53152.09
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,549.261,549.261,549.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.60$35.02$37.37
Upside / Downside1,589.74%2,918.71%3,121.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)291.08310.00330.15351.61374.47398.81410.77
Payout Ratio40.25%50.20%60.15%70.10%80.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)117.17155.62198.59246.48299.76358.93379.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)145.01146.39147.76
Year 2 PV (M)172.43175.72179.03
Year 3 PV (M)199.43205.15210.99
Year 4 PV (M)226.00234.69243.63
Year 5 PV (M)252.16264.34276.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,066.918,456.558,861.10
Equity Value (M)9,061.959,482.849,919.49
Shares Outstanding (M)1,549.261,549.261,549.26
Fair Value$5.85$6.12$6.40
Upside / Downside404.24%427.66%451.96%

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