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Definitive Analysis

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DSM-Firmenich AG (DSFIR.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$247.89 - $541.19$507.17
Multi-Stage$84.86 - $92.70$88.71
Blended Fair Value$297.94
Current Price$90.26
Upside230.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.04%14.32%2.530.601.311.011.101.100.850.760.720.66
YoY Growth--324.84%-54.49%29.70%-7.96%-0.69%29.33%12.50%5.26%9.20%-0.57%
Dividend Yield--2.77%0.57%1.11%0.86%0.93%0.94%0.72%0.64%0.61%0.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)718.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)714.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)143.6089.7553.85
Cash Retained (M)4.004.004.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-143.60-89.75-53.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)-139.60-85.75-49.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)263.85263.85263.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.53-0.32-0.19
LTM Dividend per Share2.712.712.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.53-0.32-0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.182.382.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$247.89$507.17$541.19
Upside / Downside174.64%461.90%499.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)718.00764.67814.37867.31923.68983.721,013.23
Payout Ratio99.44%97.55%95.67%93.78%91.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)714.00745.97779.08813.34848.76885.35937.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)694.34700.92707.51
Year 2 PV (M)674.97687.83700.81
Year 3 PV (M)655.89674.72693.90
Year 4 PV (M)637.08661.58686.78
Year 5 PV (M)618.56648.43679.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,110.2120,033.2420,991.59
Equity Value (M)22,391.0523,406.7224,460.04
Shares Outstanding (M)263.85263.85263.85
Fair Value$84.86$88.71$92.70
Upside / Downside-5.98%-1.71%2.71%

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