Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Dubai Electricity and Water Authority (PJSC) (DEWA.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Diversified UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.48 - $28.64$15.31
Multi-Stage$4.23 - $4.62$4.42
Blended Fair Value$9.86
Current Price$2.82
Upside249.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.62%28.63%0.120.160.300.040.030.090.020.020.010.01
YoY Growth---21.22%-47.98%656.50%33.33%-66.67%350.00%0.00%100.00%-13.04%15.00%
Dividend Yield--5.02%6.48%12.15%1.39%1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,260.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,060.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,452.05907.53544.52
Cash Retained (M)1,060.251,060.251,060.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,452.05-907.53-544.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)-391.80152.72515.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50,000.0050,000.0050,000.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate4.62%5.62%6.62%
Fair Value$6.48$15.31$28.64
Upside / Downside129.63%442.74%915.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,260.257,668.228,099.128,554.249,034.939,542.639,828.91
Payout Ratio85.40%86.32%87.24%88.16%89.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,200.006,619.007,065.517,541.308,048.258,588.369,091.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.50%6.50%6.50%
Growth Rate4.62%5.62%6.62%
Year 1 PV (M)6,156.406,215.256,274.10
Year 2 PV (M)6,112.426,229.836,348.35
Year 3 PV (M)6,068.076,243.756,422.78
Year 4 PV (M)6,023.396,257.016,497.36
Year 5 PV (M)5,978.406,269.646,572.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)181,025.77189,844.39199,003.40
Equity Value (M)211,364.46221,059.87231,118.10
Shares Outstanding (M)50,000.0050,000.0050,000.00
Fair Value$4.23$4.42$4.62
Upside / Downside49.90%56.78%63.91%

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