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Decora S.A. (DCR.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$631.56 - $1,405.61$1,317.26
Multi-Stage$213.19 - $233.21$223.02
Blended Fair Value$770.14
Current Price$74.40
Upside935.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.57%20.89%2.961.971.971.971.480.990.950.902.640.00
YoY Growth--50.00%0.00%0.00%33.33%50.00%3.68%5.88%-66.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.22%3.91%5.34%5.65%4.55%6.55%5.89%9.05%24.79%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)75.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15.139.465.67
Cash Retained (M)33.4633.4633.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-15.13-9.46-5.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.3324.0027.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.7010.7010.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.712.242.60
LTM Dividend per Share3.943.943.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.712.242.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.656.186.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$631.56$1,317.26$1,405.61
Upside / Downside748.87%1,670.51%1,789.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)75.6580.5685.8091.3897.32103.64106.75
Payout Ratio55.77%62.62%69.46%76.31%83.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.1950.4559.6069.7380.9293.2898.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)46.9547.3947.84
Year 2 PV (M)51.6252.6053.59
Year 3 PV (M)56.2057.8159.46
Year 4 PV (M)60.7063.0365.43
Year 5 PV (M)65.1168.2671.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,001.162,097.822,198.18
Equity Value (M)2,281.742,386.922,496.02
Shares Outstanding (M)10.7010.7010.70
Fair Value$213.19$223.02$233.21
Upside / Downside186.54%199.75%213.45%

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