Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

CVC Income & Growth Limited (CVCG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.31 - $46.75$36.49
Multi-Stage$28.91 - $31.66$30.26
Blended Fair Value$33.38
Current Price$1.45
Upside2,201.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.29%5.01%0.100.080.060.060.080.130.120.090.130.13
YoY Growth--14.22%36.97%-3.45%-22.31%-35.05%7.43%25.14%-25.91%-3.37%122.26%
Dividend Yield--6.64%7.27%5.92%5.06%7.75%10.80%9.81%7.40%10.49%9.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)539.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)506.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.9067.4440.46
Cash Retained (M)506.36506.36506.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.90-67.44-40.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)398.45438.92465.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.65224.65224.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.771.952.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.922.102.22
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Fair Value$28.31$36.49$46.75
Upside / Downside1,852.62%2,416.42%3,124.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)539.51561.15583.65607.06631.40656.72676.42
Payout Ratio6.15%22.92%39.69%56.46%73.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.16128.60231.64342.73462.37591.05625.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate3.01%4.01%5.01%
Year 1 PV (M)115.78116.90118.03
Year 2 PV (M)187.77191.43195.13
Year 3 PV (M)250.14257.50265.00
Year 4 PV (M)303.83315.80328.12
Year 5 PV (M)349.69366.99384.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,288.325,550.045,822.03
Equity Value (M)6,495.546,798.687,113.29
Shares Outstanding (M)224.65224.65224.65
Fair Value$28.91$30.26$31.66
Upside / Downside1,894.04%1,987.10%2,083.68%

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