Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Çimsa Çimento Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (CIMSA.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$125.32 - $390.50$365.95
Multi-Stage$52.71 - $57.66$55.14
Blended Fair Value$210.54
Current Price$48.00
Upside338.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%22.80%1.290.610.210.000.000.000.070.200.210.18
YoY Growth--112.57%186.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-64.79%-4.70%15.33%11.96%
Dividend Yield--2.72%1.97%1.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.48%10.51%9.63%8.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,856.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)801.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,055.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)371.34232.09139.25
Cash Retained (M)1,055.191,055.191,055.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-371.34-232.09-139.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)683.85823.10915.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)945.59945.59945.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.720.870.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.850.850.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.720.870.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.571.721.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$125.32$365.95$390.50
Upside / Downside161.08%662.40%713.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,856.691,977.372,105.902,242.792,388.572,543.822,620.14
Payout Ratio43.17%52.53%61.90%71.27%80.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)801.501,038.811,303.571,598.371,925.992,289.442,423.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)963.33972.46981.59
Year 2 PV (M)1,121.031,142.381,163.93
Year 3 PV (M)1,274.681,311.271,348.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,424.351,479.121,535.46
Year 5 PV (M)1,570.121,645.951,724.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,484.2145,584.5147,765.20
Equity Value (M)49,837.7152,135.7054,519.44
Shares Outstanding (M)945.59945.59945.59
Fair Value$52.71$55.14$57.66
Upside / Downside9.80%14.87%20.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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