Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Borussia Dortmund GmbH & Co. Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien (BVB.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.80 - $50.08$24.25
Multi-Stage$6.39 - $6.99$6.68
Blended Fair Value$15.47
Current Price$3.62
Upside327.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.71%0.76%0.060.000.000.000.000.050.050.050.050.04
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%20.00%-25.11%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.00%0.56%0.65%0.63%0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.573.482.09
Cash Retained (M)21.2521.2521.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.57-3.48-2.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6817.7719.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.10110.10110.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Fair Value$10.80$24.25$50.08
Upside / Downside198.39%570.01%1,283.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.8729.5331.2833.1435.1037.1938.30
Payout Ratio23.76%37.01%50.26%63.50%76.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.6210.9315.7221.0426.9433.4735.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.90%6.90%6.90%
Growth Rate4.94%5.94%6.94%
Year 1 PV (M)10.1310.2210.32
Year 2 PV (M)13.5013.7614.02
Year 3 PV (M)16.7417.2217.72
Year 4 PV (M)19.8620.6321.42
Year 5 PV (M)22.8623.9725.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)620.00650.11681.38
Equity Value (M)703.09735.92769.98
Shares Outstanding (M)110.10110.10110.10
Fair Value$6.39$6.68$6.99
Upside / Downside76.41%84.65%93.20%

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