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Definitive Analysis

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Bravida Holding AB (publ) (BRAV.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$520.34 - $1,127.71$1,056.83
Multi-Stage$173.47 - $189.70$181.43
Blended Fair Value$619.13
Current Price$91.75
Upside574.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.06%3.63%3.493.232.982.482.231.971.521.230.991.35
YoY Growth--7.85%8.52%20.32%10.94%13.12%29.49%23.81%24.75%-27.08%-44.60%
Dividend Yield--3.84%3.46%2.55%2.28%1.86%2.81%1.85%2.06%1.70%2.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,161.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)767.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)394.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)232.20145.1387.08
Cash Retained (M)394.00394.00394.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-232.20-145.13-87.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)161.80248.88306.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)204.75204.75204.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.791.221.50
LTM Dividend per Share3.753.753.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.791.221.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.544.965.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$520.34$1,056.83$1,127.71
Upside / Downside467.13%1,051.86%1,129.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,161.001,236.471,316.841,402.431,493.591,590.671,638.39
Payout Ratio66.06%70.85%75.64%80.43%85.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)767.00876.05996.031,127.911,272.731,431.601,515.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)815.47823.20830.93
Year 2 PV (M)863.05879.48896.08
Year 3 PV (M)909.74935.85962.46
Year 4 PV (M)955.56992.311,030.11
Year 5 PV (M)1,000.521,048.851,099.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,971.8532,467.8134,021.01
Equity Value (M)35,516.1937,147.5038,839.61
Shares Outstanding (M)204.75204.75204.75
Fair Value$173.47$181.43$189.70
Upside / Downside89.06%97.75%106.75%

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