Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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B.Grimm Power Public Company Limited (BGRIM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.69 - $48.47$27.32
Multi-Stage$20.85 - $22.86$21.84
Blended Fair Value$24.58
Current Price$13.70
Upside79.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.38%5.26%0.360.220.300.450.370.320.450.050.170.52
YoY Growth--67.44%-28.33%-33.33%21.62%15.63%-28.89%869.83%-72.25%-67.86%141.30%
Dividend Yield--3.53%0.78%0.74%1.28%0.81%0.81%1.44%0.18%1.04%3.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,968.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,120.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)847.76
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)393.75246.09147.65
Cash Retained (M)847.76847.76847.76
(-) Cash Required (M)-393.75-246.09-147.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)454.02601.67700.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,606.902,606.902,606.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.230.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.600.660.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate2.82%3.82%4.82%
Fair Value$17.69$27.32$48.47
Upside / Downside29.15%99.44%253.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,968.732,044.012,122.162,203.302,287.552,375.012,446.26
Payout Ratio56.94%63.55%70.16%76.78%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,120.971,298.981,488.971,691.591,907.532,137.512,262.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate2.82%3.82%4.82%
Year 1 PV (M)1,209.841,221.601,233.37
Year 2 PV (M)1,291.611,316.861,342.35
Year 3 PV (M)1,366.671,406.941,447.98
Year 4 PV (M)1,435.371,492.031,550.34
Year 5 PV (M)1,498.041,572.311,649.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,559.4949,917.5952,368.31
Equity Value (M)54,361.0256,927.3359,591.86
Shares Outstanding (M)2,606.902,606.902,606.90
Fair Value$20.85$21.84$22.86
Upside / Downside52.21%59.40%66.86%

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