Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Bluebik Group Public Company Limited (BBIK.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.08 - $40.26$30.42
Multi-Stage$18.05 - $19.70$18.86
Blended Fair Value$24.64
Current Price$19.00
Upside29.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS15.74%0.00%0.210.230.190.460.000.100.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.60%23.89%-59.46%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.73%0.44%0.30%1.28%0.00%1.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)336.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)292.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.4042.1225.27
Cash Retained (M)292.57292.57292.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.40-42.12-25.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)225.18250.45267.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)200.02200.02200.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.131.251.34
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.131.251.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.471.56
WACC / Discount Rate11.66%11.66%11.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.08$30.42$40.26
Upside / Downside21.47%60.10%111.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)336.99358.89382.22407.06433.52461.70475.55
Payout Ratio13.18%28.54%43.91%59.27%74.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.41102.44167.82241.27323.56415.53439.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.66%11.66%11.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)90.8891.7492.60
Year 2 PV (M)132.08134.60137.14
Year 3 PV (M)168.46173.30178.23
Year 4 PV (M)200.43208.14216.06
Year 5 PV (M)228.35239.38250.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,790.902,925.703,065.66
Equity Value (M)3,611.113,772.863,940.53
Shares Outstanding (M)200.02200.02200.02
Fair Value$18.05$18.86$19.70
Upside / Downside-4.98%-0.72%3.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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