Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Avax S.A. (AVAX.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.86 - $80.20$25.85
Multi-Stage$36.88 - $40.67$38.74
Blended Fair Value$32.29
Current Price$2.13
Upside1,416.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%110.31%0.030.070.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---55.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-93.94%1,202.05%-62.86%
Dividend Yield--1.99%3.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.497.804.68
Cash Retained (M)57.9857.9857.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.49-7.80-4.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.4950.1753.29
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)147.34147.34147.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.340.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.340.370.39
WACC / Discount Rate2.77%2.77%2.77%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Fair Value$13.86$25.85$80.20
Upside / Downside550.71%1,113.43%3,665.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.4363.2564.0864.9365.7866.6568.65
Payout Ratio7.13%23.70%40.28%56.85%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.4514.9925.8136.9148.3059.9863.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.77%2.77%2.77%
Growth Rate0.32%1.32%2.32%
Year 1 PV (M)14.4414.5914.73
Year 2 PV (M)23.9624.4424.92
Year 3 PV (M)33.0134.0135.02
Year 4 PV (M)41.6143.3045.03
Year 5 PV (M)49.7952.3254.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,270.845,538.845,817.63
Equity Value (M)5,433.655,707.495,992.29
Shares Outstanding (M)147.34147.34147.34
Fair Value$36.88$38.74$40.67
Upside / Downside1,631.39%1,718.65%1,809.40%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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