Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Ahren Acquisition Corp. (AHRN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.87 - $5.49$4.67
Multi-Stage$5.69 - $6.26$5.97
Blended Fair Value$5.32
Current Price$10.41
Upside-48.90%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.452.781.67
Cash Retained (M)19.8419.8419.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.45-2.78-1.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.3917.0618.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)37.5037.5037.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.520.55
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.87$4.67$5.49
Upside / Downside-62.78%-55.14%-47.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.2422.0221.8021.5821.3621.1521.78
Payout Ratio10.79%26.64%42.48%58.32%74.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.405.869.2612.5815.8419.0320.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.285.335.38
Year 2 PV (M)7.507.657.81
Year 3 PV (M)9.179.459.74
Year 4 PV (M)10.3910.8211.26
Year 5 PV (M)11.2311.8212.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)169.89178.74187.95
Equity Value (M)213.46223.81234.58
Shares Outstanding (M)37.5037.5037.50
Fair Value$5.69$5.97$6.26
Upside / Downside-45.32%-42.67%-39.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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