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A2B Australia Limited (A2B.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.59 - $3.60$3.10
Multi-Stage$5.66 - $6.26$5.95
Blended Fair Value$4.53
Current Price$2.14
Upside111.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS-59.18%-41.87%0.000.000.000.080.080.140.200.200.200.26
YoY Growth--130.12%23.88%-99.31%0.73%-42.86%-30.00%0.00%0.00%-25.93%-25.00%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.06%0.04%9.73%4.40%5.71%7.74%6.13%5.35%6.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.307.064.24
Cash Retained (M)50.4350.4350.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.30-7.06-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.1343.3746.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.08123.08123.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-5.68%-4.68%-3.68%
Fair Value$2.59$3.10$3.60
Upside / Downside21.13%44.72%68.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.4953.8551.3348.9346.6444.4645.79
Payout Ratio10.73%26.59%42.44%58.29%74.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.0614.3221.7828.5234.5840.0142.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate-5.68%-4.68%-3.68%
Year 1 PV (M)13.1513.2913.43
Year 2 PV (M)18.3918.7919.18
Year 3 PV (M)22.1322.8423.57
Year 4 PV (M)24.6625.7226.81
Year 5 PV (M)26.2127.6329.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)592.39624.46657.91
Equity Value (M)696.94732.73770.02
Shares Outstanding (M)123.08123.08123.08
Fair Value$5.66$5.95$6.26
Upside / Downside164.61%178.20%192.35%

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