Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hotel Newgrand Co.,Ltd. (9720.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,816.75 - $4,424.28$3,554.44
Multi-Stage$4,815.80 - $5,299.49$5,052.94
Blended Fair Value$4,303.69
Current Price$7,160.00
Upside-39.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS325.04%0.00%24.670.000.000.000.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)336.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)306.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.2042.0025.20
Cash Retained (M)306.94306.94306.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.20-42.00-25.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)239.74264.94281.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.181.181.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share203.05224.40238.63
LTM Dividend per Share24.6224.6224.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share203.05224.40238.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend227.67249.02263.25
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-0.65%0.35%1.35%
Fair Value$2,816.75$3,554.44$4,424.28
Upside / Downside-60.66%-50.36%-38.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)336.01337.20338.39339.59340.79341.99352.25
Payout Ratio8.65%24.92%41.19%57.46%73.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.0784.03139.39195.13251.26307.79325.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate-0.65%0.35%1.35%
Year 1 PV (M)77.4878.2579.03
Year 2 PV (M)118.48120.87123.30
Year 3 PV (M)152.91157.58162.34
Year 4 PV (M)181.54188.96196.60
Year 5 PV (M)205.03215.55226.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,950.415,204.615,469.14
Equity Value (M)5,685.855,965.836,256.92
Shares Outstanding (M)1.181.181.18
Fair Value$4,815.80$5,052.94$5,299.49
Upside / Downside-32.74%-29.43%-25.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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