Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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JASTEC Co., Ltd. (9717.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,060.21 - $4,351.57$2,920.50
Multi-Stage$1,685.73 - $1,842.95$1,762.90
Blended Fair Value$2,341.70
Current Price$1,938.84
Upside20.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS10.61%5.11%49.2048.5177.1429.4829.3729.7229.5630.2930.1729.85
YoY Growth--1.42%-37.12%161.73%0.35%-1.16%0.54%-2.43%0.42%1.06%-0.12%
Dividend Yield--3.58%3.90%7.31%2.40%3.25%3.04%2.34%2.89%3.46%3.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,927.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)424.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,502.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)385.40240.88144.53
Cash Retained (M)1,502.981,502.981,502.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-385.40-240.88-144.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,117.581,262.101,358.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.3217.3217.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share64.5472.8978.45
LTM Dividend per Share24.4924.4924.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share64.5472.8978.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend89.0397.37102.94
WACC / Discount Rate9.20%9.20%9.20%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Fair Value$2,060.21$2,920.50$4,351.57
Upside / Downside6.26%50.63%124.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,927.002,036.482,152.172,274.442,403.652,540.212,616.41
Payout Ratio22.00%35.60%49.20%62.80%76.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)424.03725.061,058.931,428.391,836.412,286.192,420.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.20%9.20%9.20%
Growth Rate4.68%5.68%6.68%
Year 1 PV (M)657.66663.94670.23
Year 2 PV (M)871.21887.94904.82
Year 3 PV (M)1,065.951,096.791,128.22
Year 4 PV (M)1,243.051,291.231,340.80
Year 5 PV (M)1,403.651,471.991,542.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,948.3825,114.3226,325.23
Equity Value (M)29,189.9130,526.2131,912.27
Shares Outstanding (M)17.3217.3217.32
Fair Value$1,685.73$1,762.90$1,842.95
Upside / Downside-13.05%-9.07%-4.95%

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