Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SKY Perfect JSAT Holdings Inc. (9412.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BroadcastingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$677.12 - $1,030.00$842.66
Multi-Stage$886.19 - $970.05$927.33
Blended Fair Value$885.00
Current Price$1,395.00
Upside-36.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.12%5.36%21.9821.4418.4318.8018.8618.8518.8519.8915.7114.13
YoY Growth--2.52%16.33%-1.93%-0.36%0.06%0.00%-5.23%26.65%11.19%8.31%
Dividend Yield--1.52%2.42%3.23%3.48%4.66%4.71%4.30%3.77%3.25%3.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,159.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,646.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,513.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,231.802,644.881,586.93
Cash Retained (M)13,513.0013,513.0013,513.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,231.80-2,644.88-1,586.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,281.2010,868.1311,926.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)283.36283.36283.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.3542.09
LTM Dividend per Share26.9826.9826.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share32.7538.3542.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend59.7465.3469.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.74%9.74%9.74%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Fair Value$677.12$842.66$1,030.00
Upside / Downside-51.46%-39.59%-26.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,159.0021,548.8621,945.9022,350.2522,762.0623,181.4523,876.90
Payout Ratio36.14%46.91%57.68%68.45%79.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,646.0010,108.3012,658.7315,299.7218,033.7420,863.3122,086.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.74%9.74%9.74%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Year 1 PV (M)9,120.769,211.209,301.65
Year 2 PV (M)10,306.1510,511.5610,719.00
Year 3 PV (M)11,239.3911,577.0811,921.47
Year 4 PV (M)11,953.5712,434.8212,930.46
Year 5 PV (M)12,478.0913,109.1713,765.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)196,010.77205,924.10216,234.53
Equity Value (M)251,108.73262,767.94274,872.64
Shares Outstanding (M)283.36283.36283.36
Fair Value$886.19$927.33$970.05
Upside / Downside-36.47%-33.52%-30.46%

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