Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Takashimaya Company, Limited (8233.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19,381.22 - $22,834.91$21,399.40
Multi-Stage$61,121.83 - $67,121.96$64,065.64
Blended Fair Value$42,732.52
Current Price$1,331.00
Upside3,110.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.35%7.36%18.7113.4911.0411.0411.0411.4411.5711.5711.5710.68
YoY Growth--38.72%22.19%0.00%0.00%-3.47%-1.14%0.00%0.00%8.37%16.08%
Dividend Yield--1.62%1.04%1.18%1.72%1.77%2.18%2.01%1.27%1.12%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41,666.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,571.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)34,095.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,333.205,208.253,124.95
Cash Retained (M)34,095.0034,095.0034,095.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,333.20-5,208.25-3,124.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)25,761.8028,886.7530,970.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)362.42362.42362.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share71.0879.7185.45
LTM Dividend per Share20.8920.8920.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share71.0879.7185.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend91.97100.60106.35
WACC / Discount Rate-24.98%-24.98%-24.98%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Fair Value$19,381.22$21,399.40$22,834.91
Upside / Downside1,356.14%1,507.77%1,615.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41,666.0044,316.9647,136.5950,135.6153,325.4456,718.2358,419.77
Payout Ratio18.17%32.54%46.90%61.27%75.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,571.0014,419.2122,108.2030,717.2240,332.2451,046.4054,038.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-24.98%-24.98%-24.98%
Growth Rate5.36%6.36%7.36%
Year 1 PV (M)19,040.3819,221.0919,401.80
Year 2 PV (M)38,549.7339,284.9640,027.13
Year 3 PV (M)70,726.7972,759.7874,831.36
Year 4 PV (M)122,627.62127,349.78132,207.03
Year 5 PV (M)204,943.96214,856.00225,147.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,695,594.9222,744,894.6823,834,406.55
Equity Value (M)22,151,483.3923,218,366.2924,326,021.76
Shares Outstanding (M)362.42362.42362.42
Fair Value$61,121.83$64,065.64$67,121.96
Upside / Downside4,492.17%4,713.35%4,942.97%

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