Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IHI Corporation (7013.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,255.45 - $1,984.24$1,588.42
Multi-Stage$1,587.10 - $1,740.57$1,662.39
Blended Fair Value$1,625.40
Current Price$2,760.00
Upside-41.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.03%0.91%14.3014.2911.434.292.8110.188.724.360.028.72
YoY Growth--0.07%25.06%166.68%52.23%-72.36%16.77%100.02%28,775.00%-99.83%-33.25%
Dividend Yield--0.64%2.02%2.06%0.83%0.75%4.58%2.35%0.79%0.00%2.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)129,343.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)111,115.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25,868.6016,167.889,700.73
Cash Retained (M)111,115.00111,115.00111,115.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-25,868.60-16,167.88-9,700.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)85,246.4094,947.13101,414.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.711,059.711,059.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share80.4489.6095.70
LTM Dividend per Share17.2017.2017.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share80.4489.6095.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend97.64106.80112.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate1.25%2.25%3.25%
Fair Value$1,255.45$1,588.42$1,984.24
Upside / Downside-54.51%-42.45%-28.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)129,343.00132,251.45135,225.31138,266.03141,375.13144,554.15148,890.77
Payout Ratio14.09%29.27%44.46%59.64%74.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,228.0038,715.5760,115.3082,457.86105,774.83130,098.73137,723.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.12%9.12%9.12%
Growth Rate1.25%2.25%3.25%
Year 1 PV (M)35,131.7435,478.7235,825.71
Year 2 PV (M)49,500.8950,483.5251,475.82
Year 3 PV (M)61,613.2363,456.9365,337.04
Year 4 PV (M)71,719.6774,595.3377,556.61
Year 5 PV (M)80,046.6284,078.4588,271.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,383,854.961,453,557.731,526,041.29
Equity Value (M)1,681,867.101,761,650.681,844,507.59
Shares Outstanding (M)1,059.711,059.711,059.71
Fair Value$1,587.10$1,662.39$1,740.57
Upside / Downside-42.50%-39.77%-36.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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