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Definitive Analysis

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Kanadevia Corp (7004.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,974.92 - $25,166.94$23,585.11
Multi-Stage$3,364.58 - $3,681.51$3,520.14
Blended Fair Value$13,552.62
Current Price$975.00
Upside1,290.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.90%9.50%23.0518.0312.0212.0212.0212.0212.0212.0212.029.93
YoY Growth--27.79%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%21.08%6.78%
Dividend Yield--2.36%1.71%1.27%1.41%1.68%3.06%3.03%2.30%2.17%2.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21,284.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,752.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,532.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,256.802,660.501,596.30
Cash Retained (M)13,532.0013,532.0013,532.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,256.80-2,660.50-1,596.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,275.2010,871.5011,935.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)168.19168.19168.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share55.1564.6470.97
LTM Dividend per Share46.0946.0946.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share55.1564.6470.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend101.24110.73117.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7,974.92$23,585.11$25,166.94
Upside / Downside717.94%2,318.99%2,481.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21,284.0022,667.4624,140.8425,710.0027,381.1529,160.9230,035.75
Payout Ratio36.42%47.14%57.85%68.57%79.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,752.0010,684.8513,966.2117,629.0121,708.9726,244.8327,783.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.84%6.84%6.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,906.9610,000.8610,094.77
Year 2 PV (M)12,006.6712,235.3612,466.21
Year 3 PV (M)14,052.1814,455.5714,866.61
Year 4 PV (M)16,044.5316,661.5617,296.21
Year 5 PV (M)17,984.7218,853.3919,755.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)495,897.57519,849.61544,718.35
Equity Value (M)565,892.63592,056.35619,197.45
Shares Outstanding (M)168.19168.19168.19
Fair Value$3,364.58$3,520.14$3,681.51
Upside / Downside245.09%261.04%277.59%

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