Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Mega Union Technology Inc. (6944.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,387.15 - $7,640.83$2,676.54
Multi-Stage$790.39 - $864.56$826.80
Blended Fair Value$1,751.67
Current Price$431.50
Upside305.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS103.37%0.00%6.911.710.320.150.110.200.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--304.36%439.70%108.98%32.09%-42.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.10%0.34%0.16%0.12%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,738.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)614.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,124.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)547.80342.37205.42
Cash Retained (M)2,124.882,124.882,124.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-547.80-342.37-205.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,577.081,782.501,919.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.2971.2971.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share22.1225.0026.92
LTM Dividend per Share8.618.618.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share22.1225.0026.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend30.7433.6235.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,387.15$2,676.54$7,640.83
Upside / Downside221.47%520.29%1,670.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,738.992,917.033,106.633,308.573,523.623,752.663,865.24
Payout Ratio22.42%35.94%49.45%62.97%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)614.111,048.291,536.312,083.352,695.023,377.393,575.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)962.97972.10981.23
Year 2 PV (M)1,296.421,321.111,346.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,614.951,661.311,708.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,919.071,992.872,068.78
Year 5 PV (M)2,209.242,315.952,426.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)48,344.3150,679.3653,103.77
Equity Value (M)56,346.9758,942.7161,635.12
Shares Outstanding (M)71.2971.2971.29
Fair Value$790.39$826.80$864.56
Upside / Downside83.17%91.61%100.36%

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