Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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BayCurrent Consulting, Inc. (6532.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,918.29 - $4,918.14$3,792.77
Multi-Stage$2,371.19 - $2,583.57$2,475.49
Blended Fair Value$3,134.13
Current Price$8,399.00
Upside-62.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS52.85%0.00%50.1341.2831.2820.6711.576.016.523.040.001.99
YoY Growth--21.44%31.98%51.32%78.67%92.55%-7.87%114.65%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.65%1.29%0.61%0.51%0.35%0.77%1.79%0.72%0.00%1.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,926.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,428.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,498.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,985.204,365.752,619.45
Cash Retained (M)25,498.0025,498.0025,498.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,985.20-4,365.75-2,619.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)18,512.8021,132.2522,878.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)151.97151.97151.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share121.82139.05150.54
LTM Dividend per Share62.0462.0462.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share121.82139.05150.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend183.85201.09212.58
WACC / Discount Rate12.15%12.15%12.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,918.29$3,792.77$4,918.14
Upside / Downside-65.25%-54.84%-41.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,926.0037,196.1939,613.9442,188.8544,931.1247,851.6549,287.20
Payout Ratio26.99%39.60%52.20%64.80%77.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,428.0014,727.9720,677.1027,337.4034,776.1743,066.4845,590.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate12.15%12.15%12.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,009.4713,132.7813,256.10
Year 2 PV (M)16,133.3016,440.5916,750.79
Year 3 PV (M)18,841.1519,382.0119,933.13
Year 4 PV (M)21,171.3621,985.5522,823.00
Year 5 PV (M)23,159.1824,277.7825,439.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)268,040.35280,986.80294,428.74
Equity Value (M)360,354.82376,205.53392,630.95
Shares Outstanding (M)151.97151.97151.97
Fair Value$2,371.19$2,475.49$2,583.57
Upside / Downside-71.77%-70.53%-69.24%

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