Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

EZconn Corporation (6442.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$517.77 - $1,680.92$838.91
Multi-Stage$343.78 - $375.36$359.28
Blended Fair Value$599.09
Current Price$793.00
Upside-24.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.91%11.39%2.071.811.040.861.171.291.722.842.581.56
YoY Growth--14.03%75.00%20.00%-26.47%-8.92%-25.00%-39.39%10.00%65.00%122.22%
Dividend Yield--0.50%1.31%1.95%2.42%3.75%4.11%4.28%7.89%5.66%2.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,479.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)653.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)825.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)295.87184.92110.95
Cash Retained (M)825.75825.75825.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-295.87-184.92-110.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)529.88640.83714.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.8276.8276.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.908.349.31
LTM Dividend per Share8.518.518.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.908.349.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.4116.8517.81
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$517.77$838.91$1,680.92
Upside / Downside-34.71%5.79%111.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,479.351,575.511,677.921,786.981,903.142,026.842,087.65
Payout Ratio44.18%53.35%62.51%71.67%80.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)653.60840.461,048.851,280.781,538.431,824.161,931.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)766.36773.63780.89
Year 2 PV (M)872.06888.67905.44
Year 3 PV (M)971.01998.881,027.28
Year 4 PV (M)1,063.511,104.411,146.48
Year 5 PV (M)1,149.851,205.391,263.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,585.2522,627.8323,710.31
Equity Value (M)26,408.0427,598.8028,833.45
Shares Outstanding (M)76.8276.8276.82
Fair Value$343.78$359.28$375.36
Upside / Downside-56.65%-54.69%-52.67%

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