Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

All Ring Tech Co., Ltd. (6187.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,317.57 - $3,226.91$3,024.09
Multi-Stage$478.79 - $523.54$500.75
Blended Fair Value$1,762.42
Current Price$384.00
Upside358.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.76%3.02%1.342.573.772.511.292.662.692.601.761.45
YoY Growth---47.74%-31.87%50.00%95.51%-51.61%-1.09%3.33%48.07%21.35%45.19%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.97%5.56%1.89%1.12%7.70%5.84%3.77%2.42%2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,577.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,023.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)554.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)315.56197.23118.34
Cash Retained (M)554.32554.32554.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-315.56-197.23-118.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)238.76357.09435.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.2497.2497.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.463.674.48
LTM Dividend per Share10.5310.5310.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.463.674.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.9814.2015.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,317.57$3,024.09$3,226.91
Upside / Downside243.12%687.52%740.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,577.821,680.381,789.601,905.932,029.812,161.752,226.60
Payout Ratio64.87%69.89%74.92%79.95%84.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,023.501,174.491,340.781,523.731,724.801,945.572,059.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,092.051,102.401,112.75
Year 2 PV (M)1,159.161,181.241,203.53
Year 3 PV (M)1,224.861,260.021,295.85
Year 4 PV (M)1,289.171,338.751,389.74
Year 5 PV (M)1,352.111,417.411,485.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,440.8242,394.1344,422.19
Equity Value (M)46,558.1748,693.9650,909.29
Shares Outstanding (M)97.2497.2497.24
Fair Value$478.79$500.75$523.54
Upside / Downside24.68%30.40%36.34%

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