Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Zhejiang Xidamen New Material Co.,Ltd. (605155.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - TextilesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.44 - $129.26$121.14
Multi-Stage$19.02 - $20.81$19.90
Blended Fair Value$70.52
Current Price$16.66
Upside323.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.72%0.00%0.140.140.140.130.090.080.070.070.050.00
YoY Growth--1.87%0.00%12.00%33.33%25.00%14.96%-1.39%29.63%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.19%1.44%1.37%1.21%0.73%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)123.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)76.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.6515.419.24
Cash Retained (M)76.1476.1476.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.65-15.41-9.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.4960.7466.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)189.65189.65189.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.320.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$54.44$121.14$129.26
Upside / Downside226.78%627.13%675.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)123.27131.28139.81148.90158.58168.88173.95
Payout Ratio38.23%48.58%58.94%69.29%79.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.1263.7882.40103.17126.30152.00160.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.3259.8860.44
Year 2 PV (M)71.2872.6474.01
Year 3 PV (M)83.0185.3987.82
Year 4 PV (M)94.5198.15101.89
Year 5 PV (M)105.79110.90116.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,192.743,346.953,507.06
Equity Value (M)3,606.653,773.913,947.43
Shares Outstanding (M)189.65189.65189.65
Fair Value$19.02$19.90$20.81
Upside / Downside14.15%19.45%24.94%

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