Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fujian Highton Development (603162.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.00 - $13.93$9.71
Multi-Stage$5.28 - $5.77$5.52
Blended Fair Value$7.62
Current Price$9.04
Upside-15.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192016201520142013
DPS33.71%0.00%0.100.090.000.000.000.020.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--14.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.12%0.96%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)391.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)94.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)296.35
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)78.2248.8929.33
Cash Retained (M)296.35296.35296.35
(-) Cash Required (M)-78.22-48.89-29.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)218.13247.46267.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)960.68960.68960.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.260.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.260.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate10.41%10.41%10.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.00$9.71$13.93
Upside / Downside-22.54%7.41%54.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)391.12416.55443.62472.46503.17535.87551.95
Payout Ratio24.23%37.38%50.54%63.69%76.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)94.77155.72224.20300.92386.66482.29510.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.41%10.41%10.41%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)139.72141.04142.37
Year 2 PV (M)180.49183.92187.39
Year 3 PV (M)217.35223.59229.95
Year 4 PV (M)250.59260.22270.13
Year 5 PV (M)280.44293.98308.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,007.904,201.484,402.47
Equity Value (M)5,076.485,304.255,540.37
Shares Outstanding (M)960.68960.68960.68
Fair Value$5.28$5.52$5.77
Upside / Downside-41.55%-38.92%-36.20%

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