Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dynagreen Environmental Protection Group Co., Ltd. (601330.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.80 - $101.04$94.68
Multi-Stage$14.23 - $15.57$14.89
Blended Fair Value$54.79
Current Price$6.95
Upside688.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.17%26.45%0.520.450.450.520.400.320.140.150.100.00
YoY Growth--17.03%-0.09%-14.26%31.08%23.48%130.35%-7.34%49.57%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--8.03%6.57%6.03%6.05%3.90%3.52%1.02%3.20%2.14%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)707.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)293.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)414.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)141.5888.4953.09
Cash Retained (M)414.64414.64414.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-141.58-88.49-53.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)273.05326.15361.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,393.451,393.451,393.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.440.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.80$94.68$101.04
Upside / Downside429.46%1,262.37%1,353.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)707.92753.93802.94855.13910.72969.91999.01
Payout Ratio41.43%51.14%60.86%70.57%80.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)293.28385.58488.65603.48731.17872.92924.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)358.10361.49364.89
Year 2 PV (M)421.46429.49437.59
Year 3 PV (M)483.40497.27511.41
Year 4 PV (M)543.93564.85586.36
Year 5 PV (M)603.08632.21662.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,418.4118,259.7319,133.25
Equity Value (M)19,828.3720,745.0321,695.94
Shares Outstanding (M)1,393.451,393.451,393.45
Fair Value$14.23$14.89$15.57
Upside / Downside104.74%114.21%124.03%

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