Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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But'one Information Corporation,Xi'an (600455.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$37.05 - $123.06$115.33
Multi-Stage$16.45 - $18.03$17.22
Blended Fair Value$66.28
Current Price$26.23
Upside152.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-54.74%-52.27%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.020.020.050.09
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-79.64%-28.55%-51.08%-45.70%-16.46%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.05%0.07%0.10%0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.744.842.90
Cash Retained (M)37.6337.6337.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.74-4.84-2.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.8932.7934.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.4362.4362.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.530.56
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.530.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate5.32%6.32%7.32%
Fair Value$37.05$115.33$123.06
Upside / Downside41.26%339.68%369.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.7041.1443.7446.5049.4452.5754.14
Payout Ratio2.76%20.21%37.66%55.10%72.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.078.3116.4725.6335.8747.3150.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate5.32%6.32%7.32%
Year 1 PV (M)7.727.797.86
Year 2 PV (M)14.1914.4614.73
Year 3 PV (M)20.4921.0821.68
Year 4 PV (M)26.6227.6528.70
Year 5 PV (M)32.5934.1635.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)925.26970.031,016.52
Equity Value (M)1,026.861,075.171,125.29
Shares Outstanding (M)62.4362.4362.43
Fair Value$16.45$17.22$18.03
Upside / Downside-37.29%-34.34%-31.28%

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