Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Old Chang Kee Ltd. (5ML.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.10 - $1.83$1.42
Multi-Stage$1.56 - $1.71$1.63
Blended Fair Value$1.53
Current Price$0.85
Upside79.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.36%-3.97%0.020.020.020.020.010.020.030.030.030.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%100.00%-59.99%-16.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.35%2.76%2.99%3.01%1.37%3.45%3.80%3.87%3.61%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.271.420.85
Cash Retained (M)8.928.928.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.27-1.42-0.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.657.508.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)121.37121.37121.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate0.98%1.98%2.98%
Fair Value$1.10$1.42$1.83
Upside / Downside29.42%67.33%115.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.3511.5711.8012.0312.2712.5212.89
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.434.065.767.539.3611.2611.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate0.98%1.98%2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)3.733.773.81
Year 2 PV (M)4.864.965.05
Year 3 PV (M)5.836.006.18
Year 4 PV (M)6.656.927.20
Year 5 PV (M)7.357.728.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)160.66168.77177.21
Equity Value (M)189.08198.14207.56
Shares Outstanding (M)121.37121.37121.37
Fair Value$1.56$1.63$1.71
Upside / Downside83.27%92.06%101.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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