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Pecca Group Berhad (5271.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.47 - $15.85$14.86
Multi-Stage$2.38 - $2.60$2.49
Blended Fair Value$8.67
Current Price$1.41
Upside515.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.61%22.41%0.090.040.020.000.000.020.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth--126.07%76.93%0.00%-100.00%-75.89%16.78%9.30%22.87%100.00%-54.59%
Dividend Yield--6.05%2.90%1.75%0.00%0.54%5.34%5.35%6.73%2.88%1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)58.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)47.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)11.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.697.314.39
Cash Retained (M)11.0911.0911.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.69-7.31-4.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.613.786.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)733.50733.50733.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.070.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$6.47$14.86$15.85
Upside / Downside358.97%953.73%1,024.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)58.4762.2766.3270.6375.2280.1182.52
Payout Ratio81.04%82.83%84.62%86.42%88.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)47.3951.5856.1261.0466.3572.1076.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)47.9648.4248.87
Year 2 PV (M)48.5249.4550.38
Year 3 PV (M)49.0750.4751.91
Year 4 PV (M)49.5951.5053.46
Year 5 PV (M)50.1152.5355.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,498.591,570.981,646.13
Equity Value (M)1,743.851,823.341,905.80
Shares Outstanding (M)733.50733.50733.50
Fair Value$2.38$2.49$2.60
Upside / Downside68.61%76.30%84.27%

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