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TTY Biopharm Company Limited (4105.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.34 - $89.90$73.02
Multi-Stage$132.86 - $146.08$139.34
Blended Fair Value$106.18
Current Price$75.60
Upside40.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS-4.90%0.00%3.493.392.993.993.994.490.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.94%13.33%-25.00%0.00%-11.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.80%4.33%3.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,582.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,086.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)496.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)316.58197.86118.72
Cash Retained (M)496.16496.16496.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-316.58-197.86-118.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.58298.30377.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)249.24249.24249.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.721.201.51
LTM Dividend per Share4.364.364.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.721.201.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.085.565.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$58.34$73.02$89.90
Upside / Downside-22.83%-3.42%18.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,582.891,567.061,551.391,535.881,520.521,505.311,550.47
Payout Ratio68.65%72.92%77.19%81.46%85.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,086.731,142.761,197.571,251.161,303.561,354.781,434.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,061.831,072.671,083.50
Year 2 PV (M)1,033.951,055.161,076.58
Year 3 PV (M)1,003.721,034.761,066.43
Year 4 PV (M)971.691,011.971,053.48
Year 5 PV (M)938.36987.221,038.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)28,103.4929,566.9031,090.66
Equity Value (M)33,113.0534,728.6836,408.76
Shares Outstanding (M)249.24249.24249.24
Fair Value$132.86$139.34$146.08
Upside / Downside75.74%84.31%93.23%

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