Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

FocalTech Systems Co., Ltd. (3545.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$40.23 - $73.69$54.07
Multi-Stage$52.43 - $57.48$54.91
Blended Fair Value$54.49
Current Price$66.10
Upside-17.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.68%-2.52%1.000.5015.713.230.690.690.690.880.980.60
YoY Growth--101.07%-96.82%385.71%366.67%0.00%0.00%-21.05%-10.49%63.26%-53.64%
Dividend Yield--1.51%0.53%20.27%2.22%0.38%1.71%1.97%1.93%1.70%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)599.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)217.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)382.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119.8674.9144.95
Cash Retained (M)382.15382.15382.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-119.86-74.91-44.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)262.29307.23337.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)216.40216.40216.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.211.421.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.211.421.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.222.422.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.93%2.93%3.93%
Fair Value$40.23$54.07$73.69
Upside / Downside-39.14%-18.20%11.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)599.30616.83634.87653.45672.56692.24713.01
Payout Ratio36.23%46.99%57.74%68.49%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)217.15289.83366.58447.57532.99623.02659.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate1.93%2.93%3.93%
Year 1 PV (M)266.90269.51272.13
Year 2 PV (M)310.86316.99323.18
Year 3 PV (M)349.50359.89370.48
Year 4 PV (M)383.26398.53414.24
Year 5 PV (M)412.55433.19454.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,622.7210,104.1210,604.60
Equity Value (M)11,345.7911,882.2312,439.28
Shares Outstanding (M)216.40216.40216.40
Fair Value$52.43$54.91$57.48
Upside / Downside-20.68%-16.93%-13.03%

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